NEW ORLEANS — Six inmates remain on the run after escaping from Orleans Parish Prison on May 16 by climbing through a hole behind a toilet. Despite the dramatic escape, experts say the chances of recapture are very high.
Originally, ten inmates escaped by removing a defective cell door and fleeing through a wall opening behind bathroom fixtures. So far, four have been captured, but six remain at large.
High Likelihood of Recapture
Bryce Peterson, adjunct professor at John Jay College of Criminal Justice and senior research scientist at the CNA Center for Justice Research and Innovation, told USA TODAY that over 90% of inmates who escape are eventually caught.
“With some inmates facing long sentences and extensive law enforcement coordination, that figure is likely closer to 100% in this case,” Peterson said.
Escapees Likely Have Support Networks
Anthony Cangelosi, adjunct professor at John Jay College and former U.S. Marshal, noted the fugitives’ chances depend on their planning and resources.
“They likely have a network of resources,” Cangelosi told USA TODAY, “and they are highly motivated not to get caught.”
Escapees often have minimal money or supplies and must rely on shelter and assistance from acquaintances to evade capture.
Law Enforcement Efforts Underway
Authorities are investigating visitors, phone records, emails, and family ties to trace the escapees’ movements. The search has expanded to known locations connected to the inmates’ associates.
Inmate Escapes Are Rare but Usually Recaptured Quickly
Research shows that inmate escapes, especially violent or large-scale ones, are uncommon and mostly occur in local facilities. Most escapees are captured swiftly, and violence after escape is rare.
However, Peterson warns that prolonged time on the run can increase the likelihood of violence as escapees become desperate.
“The sooner they are captured, the better,” he said.
Source Attribution
Information sourced from:
- USA TODAY
- John Jay College of Criminal Justice research
- Orleans Parish Prison reports